World Modelers
Abstract
The World Modelers program builds on techniques developed in the Big Mechanism program to create explanatory models for natural and human-mediated systems at regional and global scales. The world is highly interdependent, and disruption of natural resources, supply chains, and production systems can have severe consequences, including war. Water and food security are application domains of particular interest, as persistent drought may cause crops to fail, with consequential migration and conflict between peoples. The World Modelers program will develop the capability to model regional and global systems to generate timely indications and warnings with techniques for automating the creation, maintenance, and validation of large-scale integrated models using primary literature (e.g., news and analyst reports, journal articles) as a structuring mechanism and government and commercial data (e.g., remote sensing imagery, commodities futures prices) as quantitative inputs. Advances in machine reading and learning, semantic technologies, big data analysis, geo-spatial and economic modeling, and environmental simulation bring this strategic capability within reach.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Accomplishment
- Publication Date
- Oct 01, 2018
- Source ID
- 09fd98f1439e81f2e1447b7fda08db39