Return stroke speed of cloud‐to‐ground lightning estimated from elve hole radii

Abstract

We present the first measurements of the lightning return stroke speed that directly relate to the current return stroke, as opposed to its optical manifestation. The shape of elves is determined by the electromagnetic pulse (EMP) radiation pattern at D region altitudes, which is in turn controlled by the geometry and current propagation properties of the return stroke channel. In particular, numerical simulation of the EMP‐ionosphere interaction shows a strong relationship between the elve “hole” radius and the current return stroke speed. The hole radii are measured from a data set of 55 elves observed with the PIPER photometer. Using these radii observations in conjunction with numerical simulations of the EMP, we perform Bayesian inference to estimate the distribution of return stroke speeds. The results show a maximum a posteriori probability return stroke speed estimate of 0.64c for elve producing lightning.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Dec 23, 2014
Source ID
10.1002/2014gl062392

Entities

People

  • P. R. Blaes
  • R. A. Marshall
  • U. S. Inan

Organizations

  • Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
  • Koç University
  • Stanford University

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Physics

Readers

  • Aerosol Science/Aerosol Physics
  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Regression Analysis.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference