Erosion and refilling of the plasmasphere during a geomagnetic storm modeled by a neural network

Abstract

We present a history‐dependent model of the equatorial plasma density of the inner magnetosphere using a feedforward neural network with two hidden layers. As the model inputs, we take locations and time series of SYM‐H, AL, and F10.7 indices. By considering not only the instantaneous values but also the past values of geomagnetic and solar indices, the model is history dependent on levels of geomagnetic and solar activity. The modeled electron density is continuous both spatially and temporally so that the evolution of the density can be studied (such as plasmaspheric refilling). The model is trained using the electron density inferred from the spacecraft potential from three THEMIS probes. The equatorial electron density is shown to be accurately reconstructed with a correlation coefficient of r ~ 0.953 between data and model target. Since the model is history dependent, it succeeds in reconstructing various density features and dynamic behaviors, such as the quiet time plasmasphere, erosion and recovery of the plasmasphere, as well as the plume formation during a storm on 4 February 2011. Our model may provide unprecedented insight into the behavior of the equatorial density at any time and location; as an example we show the inferred refilling rate from our model and compare it to previous estimates.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Jul 01, 2017
Source ID
10.1002/2017ja023948

Entities

People

  • Jacob Bortnik
  • Qianli Ma
  • Richard Thorne
  • V. Angelopoulos
  • Wen Li
  • Xiangning Chu

Organizations

  • Air Force Office of Scientific Research
  • Boston University
  • National Aeronautics and Space Administration
  • National Science Foundation
  • University of California, Los Angeles

Tags

Readers

  • Mathematics or Statistics
  • Neural Network Machine Learning.
  • Plasma Physics / Magnetohydrodynamics

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - Neural Networks
  • Microelectronics
  • Space