Statistical extended‐range forecast of winter surface air temperature and extremely cold days over China
Abstract
An extremely cold day (ECD) in boreal winter over China is often accompanied by freezing rainfall or snow, leading to power outages, paralysed traffic and damaged ecosystems. Extended‐range (5–30 days lead) forecast of Chinese winter surface air temperature (SAT) and ECD has become a critical demand nationwide. In the present study, based on training data during 1960/1961–1999/2000, a statistical spatial–temporal projection model (STPM) is conducted to carry out an independent extended‐range forecast of winter SAT and ECD over China.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Pub Defense Publication
- Publication Date
- Apr 01, 2017
- Source ID
- 10.1002/qj.3023
Entities
People
- Tianming Li
- Zhiwei Zhu
Organizations
- Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
- National Natural Science Foundation of China
- National Science Foundation
- Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province
- United States Naval Research Laboratory
- University of Hawaiʻi System