Shrinking‐horizon dynamic programming

Abstract

We describe a heuristic control policy for a general finite‐horizon stochastic control problem, which can be used when the current process disturbance is not conditionally independent of the previous disturbances, given the current state. At each time step, we approximate the distribution of future disturbances (conditioned on what has been observed) by a product distribution with the same marginals. We then carry out dynamic programming (DP), using this modified future disturbance distribution, to find an optimal policy, and in particular, the optimal current action. We then execute only the optimal current action. At the next step, we update the conditional distribution, and repeat the process, this time with a horizon reduced by one step. (This explains the name ‘shrinking‐horizon dynamic programming’). We explain how the method can be thought of as an extension of model predictive control, and illustrate our method on two variations on a revenue management problem. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Feb 01, 2010
Source ID
10.1002/rnc.1566

Entities

People

  • Assaf Zeevi
  • Joëlle Skaf
  • Stephen Boyd

Organizations

  • Air Force Office of Scientific Research
  • National Science Foundation

Tags

Readers

  • Control Systems Engineering.
  • Statistical inference.
  • Systems Analysis and Design