The Ground Truth program: simulations as test beds for social science research methods

Abstract

Social systems are uniquely complex and difficult to study, but understanding them is vital to solving the world’s problems. The Ground Truth program developed a new way of testing the research methods that attempt to understand and leverage the Human Domain and its associated complexities. The program developed simulations of social systems as virtual world test beds. Not only were these simulations able to produce data on future states of the system under various circumstances and scenarios, but their causal ground truth was also explicitly known. Research teams studied these virtual worlds, facilitating deep validation of causal inference, prediction, and prescription methods. The Ground Truth program model provides a way to test and validate research methods to an extent previously impossible, and to study the intricacies and interactions of different components of research.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Apr 18, 2022
Source ID
10.1007/s10588-021-09346-9

Entities

People

  • Adam Russell
  • Asmeret Bier Naugle
  • Kiran Lakkaraju
  • Laura Swiler
  • Stephen Verzi
  • Vicente Romero

Organizations

  • Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Geotechnical Engineering.
  • Systems Analysis and Design

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Autonomous Systems