Tropical Indian Ocean Mediates ENSO Influence Over Central Southwest Asia During the Wet Season

Abstract

El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) modulates wet season (November–April) precipitation over Central Southwest Asia (CSWA), however, intraseasonal characteristics of its influence are largely unknown, which can be important for its subseasonal to seasonal hydroclimate predictability. Here we show that the ENSO‐CSWA teleconnection varies intraseasonally and is a combination of direct and indirect positive influences. The direct influence is through a Rossby wave‐like pattern in the tail months. The indirect influence is through an atmospheric dipole of diabatic heating anomalies in the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) as a result of ENSO‐forced response, which also generates a Rossby wave‐like forcing and persists throughout the wet season. ENSO exerts its strongest influence when both direct and indirect modes are in phase, while the relationship breaks down when the two modes are out of phase. The atmospheric teleconnection through the atmospheric diabatic heating anomalies in the TIO is reproducible in numerical simulations.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Sep 23, 2020
Source ID
10.1029/2020gl089308

Entities

People

  • Fred Kucharski
  • Katherine J Evans
  • Mansour Almazroui
  • Moetasim Ashfaq
  • Muhammad Adnan Abid

Organizations

  • International Centre for Theoretical Physics
  • King Abdulaziz University
  • Oak Ridge National Laboratory
  • United States Air Force
  • United States Department of Energy

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Ocean-Atmosphere Mesoscale Modeling, Data Assimilation, and Flux Boundary Layers
  • Theoretical Analysis.