Influence of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation on Continental United States Hurricane Landfalls
Abstract
The Madden‐Julian oscillation (MJO) significantly impacts North Atlantic hurricanes, with increased hurricane activity occurring when the MJO enhances convection over Africa and the tropical Indian Ocean and suppressed hurricane activity occurring when the MJO enhances convection over the tropical Pacific. Using data from 1905 to 2015, we find more tropical cyclones (TCs) make landfall in the continental United States when the MJO enhances tropical Indian Ocean convection. In addition, when the MJO enhances Western Pacific and Western Hemisphere convection, TC activity is preferentially favored in the Caribbean, leading to more Gulf Coast landfalls. As MJO‐enhanced convection moves to the Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent, more storms form in the tropical Atlantic, favoring Florida Peninsula and East Coast landfalls. The MJO's TC steering wind modulation appears to be secondary to its genesis location modulation.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Pub Defense Publication
- Publication Date
- Mar 30, 2023
- Source ID
- 10.1029/2023gl102762
Entities
People
- Carl Schreck
- Eric C.J. Oliver
- Gilbert P. Compo
- Kimberly M. Wood
- Michael M Bell
- Philip Klotzbach
- Steven G. Bowen
Organizations
- Colorado State University
- Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences
- Dalhousie University
- G. Unger Vetlesen Foundation
- Mississippi State University
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- North Carolina State University
- Office of Naval Research
- University of Colorado