Global land use for 2015–2100 at 0.05° resolution under diverse socioeconomic and climate scenarios

Abstract

Global future land use (LU) is an important input for Earth system models for projecting Earth system dynamics and is critical for many modeling studies on future global change. Here we generated a new global gridded LU dataset using the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) and a land use spatial downscaling model, named Demeter, under the five Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios. Compared to existing similar datasets, the presented dataset has a higher spatial resolution (0.05° × 0.05°) and spreads under a more comprehensive set of SSP-RCP scenarios (in total 15 scenarios), and considers uncertainties from the forcing climates. We compared our dataset with the Land Use Harmonization version 2 (LUH2) dataset and found our results are in general spatially consistent with LUH2. The presented dataset will be useful for global Earth system modeling studies, especially for the analysis of the impacts of land use and land cover change and socioeconomics, as well as the characterizing the uncertainties associated with these impacts.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Oct 02, 2020
Source ID
10.1038/s41597-020-00669-x

Entities

People

  • Chris R. Vernon
  • Katherine Calvin
  • Maoyi Huang
  • Min Chen
  • Mohamad Hejazi
  • Neal T. Graham
  • Yanyan Cheng

Organizations

  • United States Department of Energy

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

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