Population structure determines the tradeoff between fixation probability and fixation time

Abstract

The rate of biological evolution depends on the fixation probability and on the fixation time of new mutants. Intensive research has focused on identifying population structures that augment the fixation probability of advantageous mutants. But these amplifiers of natural selection typically increase fixation time. Here we study population structures that achieve a tradeoff between fixation probability and time. First, we show that no amplifiers can have an asymptotically lower absorption time than the well-mixed population. Then we design population structures that substantially augment the fixation probability with just a minor increase in fixation time. Finally, we show that those structures enable higher effective rate of evolution than the well-mixed population provided that the rate of generating advantageous mutants is relatively low. Our work sheds light on how population structure affects the rate of evolution. Moreover, our structures could be useful for lab-based, medical, or industrial applications of evolutionary optimization.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Apr 23, 2019
Source ID
10.1038/s42003-019-0373-y

Entities

People

  • Andreas Pavlogiannis
  • Josef Tkadlec
  • Krishnendu Chatterjee
  • Martin A. Nowak

Organizations

  • Austrian Science Fund
  • John Templeton Foundation
  • Office of Naval Research

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Biology
  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Immunology
  • Regression Analysis.