Simple dynamical models capturing the key features of the Central Pacific El Niño

Abstract

The Central Pacific El Niño (CP El Niño) has been frequently observed in recent decades. The phenomenon is characterized by an anomalous warm sea surface temperature (SST) confined to the central Pacific and has different teleconnections from the traditional El Niño with major societal impact. Here, a simple modeling framework is developed and shown to capture the key mechanisms of the CP El Niño. In addition to the SST, other major characteristics of the CP El Niño such as the rising branch of the anomalous Walker circulation being shifted to the central Pacific and the eastern Pacific cooling with a shallow thermocline are all captured by this simple coupled model. Key features of the model are nonlinear advection of SST and effective stochastic wind bursts.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Oct 03, 2016
Source ID
10.1073/pnas.1614533113

Entities

People

  • Andrew J. Majda
  • Nan Chen

Organizations

  • New York University
  • Office of Naval Research

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Aerial Delivery - Logistics and Supply Chain Management.
  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology