Bayesian cumulative shrinkage for infinite factorizations

Abstract

The dimension of the parameter space is typically unknown in a variety of models that rely on factorizations. For example, in factor analysis the number of latent factors is not known and has to be inferred from the data. Although classical shrinkage priors are useful in such contexts, increasing shrinkage priors can provide a more effective approach that progressively penalizes expansions with growing complexity. In this article we propose a novel increasing shrinkage prior, called the cumulative shrinkage process, for the parameters that control the dimension in overcomplete formulations. Our construction has broad applicability and is based on an interpretable sequence of spike-and-slab distributions which assign increasing mass to the spike as the model complexity grows. Using factor analysis as an illustrative example, we show that this formulation has theoretical and practical advantages relative to current competitors, including an improved ability to recover the model dimension. An adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is proposed, and the performance gains are outlined in simulations and in an application to personality data.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
May 27, 2020
Source ID
10.1093/biomet/asaa008

Entities

People

  • Daniele Durante
  • David B. Dunson
  • Sirio Legramanti

Organizations

  • Bocconi University
  • Duke University
  • National Institutes of Health
  • Office of Naval Research

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Computer science
  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Neural Network Machine Learning.
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Statistical inference.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - Machine Learning Algorithms
  • Space