Calibrating general posterior credible regions

Abstract

Calibration of credible regions derived from under- or misspecified models is an important and challenging problem. In this paper, we introduce a scalar tuning parameter that controls the posterior distribution spread, and develop a Monte Carlo algorithm that sets this parameter so that the corresponding credible region achieves the nominal frequentist coverage probability.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Dec 10, 2018
Source ID
10.1093/biomet/asy054

Entities

People

  • Nicholas Syring
  • Ryan Martin

Organizations

  • Army Research Office
  • North Carolina State University
  • University of Illinois at Chicago

Tags

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation