Effects of Climate on the Variation in Abundance of Three Tick Species in Illinois

Abstract

The range of ticks in North America has been steadily increasing likely, in part, due to climate change. Along with it, there has been a rise in cases of tick-borne disease. Among those medically important tick species of particular concern are Ixodes scapularis Say (Acari: Ixodidae), Dermacentor variabilis Say (Acari: Ixodidae), and Amblyomma americanum Linneaus (Acari: Ixodidae). The aim of this study was to determine if climate factors explain existing differences in abundance of the three aforementioned tick species between two climatically different regions of Illinois (Central and Southern), and if climate variables impact each species differently. We used both zero-inflated regression approaches and Bayesian network analyses to assess relationships among environmental variables and tick abundance. Results suggested that the maximum average temperature and total precipitation are associated with differential impact on species abundance and that this difference varied by region. Results also reinforced a differential level of resistance to desiccation among these tick species. Our findings help to further define risk periods of tick exposure for the general public, and reinforce the importance of responding to each tick species differently.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Dec 07, 2021
Source ID
10.1093/jme/tjab189

Entities

People

  • E A Bacon
  • Heather L. Kopsco
  • Nohra E Mateus-Pinilla
  • P Gronemeyer
  • Rebecca L. Smith

Organizations

  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
  • United States Department of Defense
  • University of Illinois Urbana–Champaign

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Aquatic Ecology
  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Vector-Borne Disease and Entomology

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference