Modelling the impact of birth control policies on China’s population and age: effects of delayed births and minimum birth age constraints
Abstract
We consider age-structured models with an imposed refractory period between births. These models can be used to formulate alternative population control strategies to China’s one-child policy. By allowing any number of births, but with an imposed delay between births, we show how the total population can be decreased and how a relatively older age distribution can be generated. This delay represents a more ‘continuous’ form of population management for which the strict one-child policy is a limiting case. Such a policy approach could be more easily accepted by society. Our analyses provide an initial framework for studying demographics and how social constraints influence population structure.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Pub Defense Publication
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 2022
- Source ID
- 10.1098/rsos.211619
Entities
People
- Renaud Dessalles
- Tom Chou
- Yue Wang
Organizations
- Army Research Office
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute
- University of California, Los Angeles