Predicting Known Terrorist Event Outcomes and the Illusion of Self‐Assessed Expertise*
Abstract
This study focuses on the influence of self‐assessed expertise on forecasting accuracy for incomplete information. We investigate this ability in individuals using a series of indicators of terrorist behaviors.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Pub Defense Publication
- Publication Date
- Feb 13, 2019
- Source ID
- 10.1111/ssqu.12601
Entities
People
- Clay Foster
- James L. Regens
- Nick Mould
Organizations
- Defense Intelligence Agency
- University of North Carolina
- University of Oklahoma