Response of the North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Climatology to Global Warming: Application of Dynamical Downscaling to CMIP5 Models
Abstract
A downscaling approach is applied to future projection simulations from four CMIP5 global climate models to investigate the response of the tropical cyclone (TC) climatology over the North Pacific basin to global warming. Under the influence of the anthropogenic rise in greenhouse gases, TC-track density, power dissipation, and TC genesis exhibit robust increasing trends over the North Pacific, especially over the central subtropical Pacific region. The increase in North Pacific TCs is primarily manifested as increases in the intense and relatively weak TCs. Examination of storm duration also reveals that TCs over the North Pacific have longer lifetimes under global warming.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Pub Defense Publication
- Publication Date
- Feb 01, 2017
- Source ID
- 10.1175/jcli-d-16-0496.1
Entities
People
- Jeffrey P. Donnelly
- Kerry Emanuel
- Kristopher B. Karnauskas
- Lei Zhang
Organizations
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology
- Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program
- University of Colorado Boulder
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution