Machine learning informed predictor importance measures of environmental parameters in maritime optical turbulence

Abstract

Prediction of the index of refraction structure constant C n 2 in the low-altitude maritime environment is challenging. To improve predictive models, deeper understanding of the relationships between environmental parameters and optical turbulence is required. To that end, a robust data set of C n 2 as well as numerous meteorological parameters were collected over a period of approximately 15 months along the Chesapeake Bay adjacent to the Severn River in Annapolis, Maryland. The goal was to derive new insights into the physical relationships affecting optical turbulence in the near-maritime environment. Using data-driven machine learning feature selection approaches, the relative importance of 12 distinct, measurable environmental parameters was analyzed and evaluated. Random forest nodal purity analysis was the primary machine learning approach to relative importance determination. The relative feature importance results indicated that air temperature and pressure were important parameters in predicting C n 2 in the maritime environment. In addition, the relative importance findings suggest that the air–water temperature difference, temporal hour weight, and time of year, as measured through seasonality, have strong associations with C n 2 and could be included to improve model prediction accuracy.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Jul 17, 2020
Source ID
10.1364/ao.397325

Entities

People

  • Charles Nelson
  • Christopher Jellen
  • Cody Brownell
  • John Burkhardt

Organizations

  • Office of Naval Research

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science / Meteorology, specifically Wind Wave Turbulence.
  • Marine Ecotoxicology
  • Neural Network Machine Learning.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - Neural Networks