sunRunner1D: A Tool for Exploring ICME Evolution through the Inner Heliosphere
Abstract
Accurate forecasts of the properties of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) prior to their arrival at Earth are unquestionably a key goal for space weather. Currently, there are several promising techniques for accomplishing this, including the more focused but limited objective of predicting the time of arrival (ToA) of the ICME at Earth. In this study, we describe a new tool, sunRunner1D, with the initial goal of being able to reproduce the structure and evolution of four categories of CMEs as they propagate from the corona to 1 AU. We demonstrate that sunRunner1D can reproduce the essential properties of these ICMEs to varying degrees of success. We suggest that, ultimately, this tool could assist operational forecasters in predicting space weather events, and their associated geomagnetic consequences. In the nearer term, we anticipate that it could potentially provide useful forecasts for ToA.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Pub Defense Publication
- Publication Date
- Aug 27, 2022
- Source ID
- 10.3390/universe8090447
Entities
People
- Michal Ben-Nun
- Pete Riley
Organizations
- National Aeronautics and Space Administration
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- United States Air Force