On the Effect of Model Parameters on Forecast Objects

Abstract

Abstract. Many physics-based numerical models produce a gridded, spatial field of forecasts, e.g., a temperature "map". However, the field for some quantities such as precipitation generally consists of spatially coherent and disconnected "objects". Certain features of these objects (e.g., number, size, and intensity) are generally of interest. Here, a methodology is developed for assessing the impact of model parameters on features of forecast objects. Although, in principle, the objects can be defined by any means, here they are identified via clustering algorithms. The methodology is demonstrated on precipitation forecasts from a mesoscale numerical weather prediction model.

Document Details

Document Type
Pub Defense Publication
Publication Date
Nov 13, 2017
Source ID
10.5194/gmd-2017-273

Entities

People

  • Caren Marzban
  • Corinne Jones
  • Ning Li
  • Scott Sandgathe

Organizations

  • Directorate for Geosciences
  • Office of Naval Research

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Computer Vision.