Predicting Complex Operational Environments
Abstract
The Predicting Complex Operational Environments program expands on prior work in the XDATA program and will develop advanced modeling, analysis, simulation, and visualization tools to enable command staffs to rapidly and effectively plan and manage missions in complex operational environments. The U.S. military increasingly operates in remote and unstable parts of the world where mission success depends heavily on cooperation with and among a wide variety of stakeholder groups. These groups typically include host nation government organizations, local civilian groups, and non-governmental organizations each of which has priorities, sensitivities and concerns that may differ significantly. Economic disruptions can add great urgency to these considerations, as shortages of water and food directly impact theater security and may even lead to war. Current mission planning and plan assessment/adaptation technologies do not adequately model the inherent uncertainties. Addressing this challenge will require the creation of new semantic techniques that automatically generate, update, and prune alternative hypotheses as they become more or less likely given incoming data streams. The program will create computational models that represent the most significant dynamics and uncertainties of the operational environment including political, military, economic, and social factors. These will enable command staffs to develop and assess potential courses of action at multiple levels of granularity and time scales, and to quickly adapt to changing situations in complex operational environments.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Accomplishment
- Publication Date
- Oct 01, 2017
- Source ID
- 24e43952c857336411fe931e1ed9aeb5
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- Root: TACTICAL TECHNOLOGY