Science and Technology Analytic Assessments
Abstract
The Science and Technology (S&T) Analytic Assessments Project Code conducts net technical assessment through the integration of intelligence, comparative assessment, and independent analysis to shape the development of innovative capabilities to address emerging threats from a diverse range of state and non-state actors as outlined in the NDS and as reported through the IC. The emerging nature of the problem sets makes specific identification of project topics beyond the budget year unlikely. Project funding supports independent technical analysis performed by DoD-sponsored industry, academic, and FFRDC/UARC performers and DoD laboratories. Main lines of effort include: -Technical threat assessments, informed by IC production, that identify areas of future technology overmatch. -Quantitative, engineering-level analyses of potential novel technology and concepts that address capability gaps and potential counters to intelligence-derived emerging threat technologies in future environments. -Net technical assessment of existing and planned U.S. capabilities and weapons systems using emerging threat systems and capabilities in future operating environments. -Technology maturation forecasting characterizes the future maturation of defense-related technologies in related aggregate groups of capability enablers identified by TW/HS efforts and independent FFRDC/UARC experts. Comparative assessments identify prioritized operational issues and associated technology focus areas through comprehensive Kill Chain Analysis (KCA) across all domains through the year 2040. These assessments inform technology investment decisions. Characterizations of future operating environments and challenges inform the scoping and design efforts of mission engineering and mission integration analyses for DoD. Main lines of effort include: -KCA across Defense Planning Scenarios and other relevant DoD vignettes identifies and characterizes capability disadvantages and opportunities across the battlespace, providing detailed characterizations of U.S. and adversary capabilities and technology development efforts that enable mission-oriented analysis of emerging threats. -Technology superiority assessments of potential technology developments and their impacts on future military capabilities. -Standardized technology-focused timelines to summarize and track DoD progress toward technical dominance in priority technology areas. -Operational Environment Packages (OEPs) that characterize the future operational environment through integration of strategy, doctrine, policy, concepts, technology, and intelligence. OEPs provide a common analytic baseline for examining technologies, capabilities, gaps, and opportunities. -Technology wargames identify opportunities stemming from emerging technologies, evaluate the demands of the future operational environment, and integrate the operational, technology, and intelligence communities. Wargame outputs inform future concept and capability development, prototyping and experimentation activities, threat forecasting, and DoD S&T investments.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Project
- Publication Date
- Oct 01, 2023
- Source ID
- 328_0603288D8Z_3_0400_PB_2023
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