Integrated Crisis Early Warning System (ICEWS)
Abstract
The Integrated Crisis Early Warning System (ICEWS) program develops and integrates a set of data analysis tools into a unified information system to support Theater Security Cooperation. The ICEWS system monitors, assesses and forecasts leading indicators of events that make countries vulnerable to crises. ICEWS technologies include quantitative and computational social science modeling and simulation, scenario generation, ontological modeling of security problems, advanced interactive visualization techniques, and agent-based programming. ICEWS will also develop a collaborative, open-source testbed that will facilitate the integration and evaluation of alternative, operationally relevant social theories. Natural language processing is required to identify and extract information that is predictive from text and speech-based media and to distill that information into a form that is actionable by civilian and military leadership. ICEWS will develop a large body of test cases (source data and outcomes) against which the social science theories can be evaluated. When integrated, these tools will allow combatant commanders and their staff to understand and anticipate conditions that precipitate instability and conflict while there is still time to influence them. ICEWS will also help commanders anticipate unintended consequences of actions taken to influence or remediate situations, consequences that may be delayed by months or years.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Accomplishment
- Publication Date
- Oct 01, 2013
- Source ID
- 847992b7e64e2a61dada13ccb70aba73
Related Documents
- Root: TACTICAL TECHNOLOGY