INVESTIGATION OF THE OPTIMUM ANALYTICAL TECHNIQUES FOR WEATHER ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING

Abstract

A pilot study was made of forecasting the usual weather parameters in the absence of certain combinations of synoptic data. Two forecasters analyzed 6 schemes or combinations of sea-level or 500-mb data in which the information was systematically reduced. The results indicated an effective deterioration of forecast scores only for severely reduced information. Variation of the forecast verification schemes shifted the error level of forecasts without affecting the score trends. An optimum scheme which existed for data reduction allowed for spotting, analyzing, and forecasting in considerably less time. Attempts are being made to forecast from prognostic charts which represent correct analyses of the subsequent maps.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 1952
Accession Number
AD0022847

Entities

People

  • V. Moyer

Organizations

  • Pennsylvania State University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Aeronautics
  • Climate Change
  • Dew Point
  • Meteorology
  • New York
  • North Carolina
  • Sea Level
  • Standards
  • Stations
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Students
  • Time Studies
  • Universities
  • Weather Forecasting
  • Weather Stations
  • Wind Direction

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Aerospace Engineering
  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Vision Science/Vision Psychology/Cognitive Neuroscience.