A LINEAR RISK MODEL

Abstract

A special structure optimization model is presented which includes many of the single variable risk problems that are encountered in operational problems. A risk function is assumed which is a piece-wise linear function of some random variable whose distribution is known; one seeks the value of the decision variable which minimizes expected risk. In this paper are presented the necessary and sufficient conditions for this optimization for random vari-ABLES WHICH ARE EITHER CONTINUOUSLY OR DISCRETELY DISTRIBUTED. The important special case of a continuous risk function is discussed; multiple risk problems with a joint constraint ar analyzed; and the change in policy for a small change in the distribution of the random variable is investigated. Examples illustrate the application of the model. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 28, 1961
Accession Number
AD0260609

Entities

People

  • William S. Jewell

Organizations

  • University of California, Berkeley

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Optimization
  • Random Variables

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Aviation Safety Risk Assessment.
  • Operations Research
  • Statistical inference.