OPTIMAL TIMING IN MISSILE LAUNCHING: A GAME-THEORETIC ANALYSIS
Abstract
Suppose that Blue plans to launch a missile during some specified time interval. Prior to a launching, Blue must expose the missile for a time period, during which the missile is vulnerable to attack and may be destroyed by Red. Prior to its exposure, Blue's missile is assumed to be underground, where it may be pinned down for a time interval or possibly destroyed by a Red missile. The optimal time is formulated for Blue to launch his missile, and the optimal time is analyzed for Red to attack Blue. This scheduling problem is formulated and analyzed as a two-person game. Various game models are considered in which the three types of vulnerability are introduced as stochastic elements. The optimal strategies, i.e., the optimal launching times, are described.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Mar 01, 1961
- Accession Number
- AD0264783
Entities
People
- Melvin Dresher
- Selmer Johnson
Organizations
- RAND Corporation