A MATHEMATICAL EVACUATION MODEL,

Abstract

The mathematical model discussed in this report is meant to be applicable to the problem of planning optimum strategic evacuations, in the sense that expected nuclear attack casualties to a given population are minimized. In the model, an ''attack area'' is divided into sectors. Within each sector, the vulnerability of personnel in various categories representing varying degrees of protection is specified, along with the maximum number of occupants allowed in each category. The allowed movements between sectors must also be specified. The principle problem discussed is that of determining an evacuation plan for a given attack area which minimizes the expected number of postattack casualties. A linear program for deriving optimum evacuation plans is described, and examples of its operation are given. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 22, 1963
Accession Number
AD0415096

Entities

People

  • S. D. Stearns

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Casualties
  • Evacuation
  • Linear Programming
  • Mathematical Models
  • Models
  • Operations Research
  • Vulnerability

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Approximation Theory.
  • Nuclear Civil Defense.
  • Theoretical Analysis.