MEASUREMENT OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS,

Abstract

Five experimental one-person games are derived which promise both valid and efficient measure ment of discrete and continuous subjective proba bility distributions. All of these games possess the characteristic that it is to the disadvantage of the decision maker to respond in a manner in consistent with his actual expectations. The measurement procedures are efficient and rapid. It appears that some of the procedures could be used to measure continuously changing subjective probabilities. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 1963
Accession Number
AD0416405

Entities

People

  • Masanao Toda

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Measurement
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions

Readers

  • Game Theory.
  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.