PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION PROCESSING BY MEN, MACHINES, AND MAN-MACHINES SYSTEMS,
Abstract
A discussion is presented of the argument that Bayes's theorem is a normative model for inductive inference. Results of several experiments are presented that indicate that human beings do not behave the way this normative model says they should; the implications of these ideas and findings suggest the design of information processing systems intended for business, military, or governmental use. Research in progress on such systems is described. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Aug 13, 1963
- Accession Number
- AD0428727
Entities
People
- Ward Edwards
Organizations
- System Development Corporation