OFFICER PROMOTION PROCEDURES. III. INCREASING THE RELIABILITY OF PROMOTION BOARD EVALUATIONS

Abstract

While promotion board evaluation scores and recommendations are quite reliable under the present system, a certain degree of unreliability is present which results in the promotion or nonpromotion of a small percentage of elgibles on the basis of factors other than past performance and potential. Several methods are available for decreasing the small amount of unreliability now present. Some of these methods would require increasing the number of raters per eligible, although not with an increase in the size of Headquarters USAF boards. Others could be accomplished by a rearrangement of evaluation procedures with no increase in the over-all number of raters. Others, by making use of the Mean OER or a prediction composite score, would increase reliability and at the same time permit a reduction in the number of members per board. Any of the suggested procedures would be expected to result in an increase in the reliability of the final promotion recommendations, and the use of any two or more of them in combination would probably result in even higher reliability.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 01, 1964
Accession Number
AD0455410

Entities

People

  • Ernest C. Tupes
  • Lonnie D. Valentine Jr.
  • Ray W. Alvord

Tags

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  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Composite Materials
  • Contractors
  • Efficiency
  • Government Procurement
  • Governments
  • Gray Zone
  • Inventions
  • Judgment
  • Procurement
  • Quality Control
  • Reliability
  • Specifications
  • Test And Evaluation

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  • Mathematics or Statistics
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