A STATISTICAL MODEL FOR DETERMINING NAVAL ACADEMY INPUTS TO ASSURE SPECIFIED NAVAL OFFICER OUTPUTS.

Abstract

A statistical model for determining Naval Academy inputs and resultant Naval Officer outputs has been developed. Data pertaining to Naval Academy classes for the past thirty years was collected and studied. The basic model considered each graduate sampled as a BERNOULLI Trial. By regression analysis, best estimators for the parameters (proportions of success) for each population of graduates in different grades, were determined. Probabilities were then calculated for a randomly selected graduate, commissioned Ensign, to serve in successive grades, with a specified confidence. An INPUT/OUTPUT formula was derived. This paper will provide current personnel planners with accurate officer planning requirements. The author wishes to express his appreciation for the thoroughly outstanding assistance and encouragement given him by Professor W. M. Woods of the U. S. Naval Postgraduate School. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1965
Accession Number
AD0475301

Entities

People

  • Lawrence P. Treadwell Jr.

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Data Science
  • Estimators
  • Information Science
  • Instructors
  • Mathematics
  • Probability
  • Regression Analysis
  • Schools
  • Statistical Algorithms
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Students
  • United States Naval Academy

Readers

  • Military Leadership and Professional Education.
  • Statistical inference.
  • Systems Analysis and Design