PROBABILITY MODEL FOR A CONVOY THREATENED BY A SUBMARINE LAUNCHED MISSILE.

Abstract

The advent of the missile firing submarine has added yet another dimension to the problem of defending convoys and task groups during ocean transit. The specific situation wherein the submarine must surface to fire a relatively short range missile against a convoy of ships is considered. The model developed considers several different problem parameters. It enables the calculation of probability of detection of the submarine, probability of killing the submarine before a particular missile is fired, and the expected number of missiles that the submarine will fire. Selected results from randomly selected parameter values are also presented. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1965
Accession Number
AD0475379

Entities

People

  • Frank B. Boice

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Detection
  • Probability
  • Ships
  • Submarine Launched
  • Submarines

Readers

  • Maritime and Naval Warfare Studies
  • Missile Defense Systems.
  • Regression Analysis.