AN ANALYSIS OF THE DECISION PROCESS

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to formulate a simple analysis of the decision process, in order to optimize a decision over a time interval. In particular, a military decision process is analyzed in relation to input and output parameters. These parameters vary with time according to the values held by those making a decision. Values also change in both short intervals and long intervals and an analysis of the value trends, by experiment, is made. From such trends, projection into the future can be made, such that optimization of the decision process can be established. An optimization rule for the decision process is presented, utilizing trend analysis from experimental data of the values of input and output parameters.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1964
Accession Number
AD0478819

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  • Paul Z. Cummins Ii

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

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  • C4I

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  • Economic Forecasting
  • Employee Relations
  • Equations
  • Experimental Data
  • Happiness
  • Intervals
  • Mathematics
  • Numerical Analysis
  • Operations Research
  • Optimization
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Walk
  • Statistics
  • Time Intervals
  • Training
  • United States

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  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Systems Analysis and Design