AN INTRODUCTION OF SIMULATION UTILIZING THE MONTE CARLO METHOD OF ANALYSIS AS A TOOL FOR U. S. COAST GUARD PERSONNEL ADMINISTRATION

Abstract

The problem presented at the outset of this study was compared with the basic economic problem of how much of what should be produced and to whom should it be distributed. The uncertainty of how many officers the Coast Guard should commission, how they should be trained, and to what specialty they should be channeled has not been removed by this study. However, a new tool has been introduced which should reduce the uncertainty concerning these problems. The process of simulation should not be construed to be a panacea for the problem of planning for uncertainty. It does offer a tool for improving the utilization of empirical data that has been or should have been collected throughout the history of the organization. Simulation strives for the optimum alternative instead of accepting the satisfactory alternative which has been the practice of the past.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 01, 1962
Accession Number
AD0482708

Entities

People

  • John W. Sheedy

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Attrition
  • Coast Guard
  • Education
  • Employment
  • Military Education
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • New York
  • Officer Personnel
  • Organizational Structure
  • Personnel Management
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Simulations
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Students
  • Training
  • United States

Readers

  • Government and Public Administration Law.
  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Systems Analysis and Design