GAMES AND SIMULATIONS
Abstract
The prevailing pessimism concerning the usefulness of game theory for military analysis is premature, and the time has arrived for a second look. The advantage in a game theoretic analysis of a military problem are large. These include the possibility of dealing with a wide spectrum of strategic possibilities, the explicit inclusion of the basic two- (or many- ) sidedness of military conflicts, and the opportunity for optimization. However, for some time to come, game theoretic analysis cannot be expected to deal with the staggering complexity of large-scale military engagements. Progress will be made primarily with highly simplified models. As a result game theoretic studies will need supplemental unpacking and testing. Imbedding abstract games in a family of models whose aggregated solutions are refined and evaluated by more detailed simulation appears to be one promising direction.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Apr 01, 1964
- Accession Number
- AD0601138
Entities
People
- Norman C. Dalkey
Organizations
- RAND Corporation