A SYSTEMATIC APPROACH TO LOCAL OBJECTIVE FORECAST STUDIES

Abstract

Problems in the design, preparation, and use of local objective forecasting studies were evaluated while specific local objective forecasting studies were being made. As a result, a systematic procedure that may be used as a guide in designing and preparing local objective forecasting studies was developed and tested in a number of seminar-workshop groups. The systematic procedure is outlined and discussed with illustrations from several local objective forecasting studies. The procedure consists of defining the local forecasting problem in terms consistent with observing and forecasting capabilities, resolving the variability of the forecast element into its cyclic (seasonal and diurnal) and 'synoptic' components, and finally, reassembling the components into a forecast scheme that allows the forecaster to exercise his training as a meteorologist.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 22, 1957
Accession Number
AD0605071

Entities

People

  • J. D. Sartor

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Active Duty
  • Air Force
  • Chemical Analysis
  • Curvature
  • Delphi Method
  • Frequency
  • Intervals
  • Meteorology
  • Nautical
  • Observation
  • Observers
  • Precipitation
  • Pressure Gradients
  • Visibility
  • Weather
  • Weather Forecasting

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Software Engineering
  • Theoretical Analysis.