A VUNERABILITY MODEL FOR WEAPON SITES WITH INTERDEPENDENT ELEMENTS,

Abstract

This paper describes a simple 'counting' model, employing overlays and probability-grids, which aids in the determination of the trade-off, measured in survival probability, between site dispersal and hardening for a weapon complex composed of several interdependent elements, separated by distances of less than two lethal radii. The survival-probability expressions are obtained through the use of Markov chains. An example of vulnerability estimation by the use of the model is included. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 18, 1960
Accession Number
AD0606926

Entities

People

  • Sidney I. Firstman

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • California
  • Hardening
  • Markov Chains
  • Markov Processes
  • Mathematics
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Survival
  • Vulnerability

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Statistical inference.
  • Strategic Security Studies
  • Systems Analysis and Design