IMPROVING THE RELIABILITY OF ESTIMATES OBTAINED FROM A CONSENSUS OF EXPERTS,

Abstract

The outcome of an experiment in the use of expert opinions is reported. The experiment involved both the so-called Delphi technique, which seeks to induce opinion convergence through a sequence of questionnaires interspersed with controlled opinion feedback, and the computation of a consensus based on self-appraised competence ratings.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1964
Accession Number
AD0606970

Entities

People

  • Bernice Brown
  • Olaf Helmer

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Computations
  • Convergence
  • Delphi Method
  • Feedback
  • Mathematics
  • Questionnaires
  • Reliability
  • Sequences

Readers

  • Military Leadership and Professional Education.
  • Organizational Psychology.
  • Theoretical Analysis.