PROTECTING INDUSTRIAL RESOURCES AGAINST NUCLEAR ATTACK: INTERIM REPORT OF AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS,
Abstract
This study describes a method for allocating an assumed budget for the protection of industrial resources from nuclear attack. The objective of the allocation is to help ensure that the surviving population has the resources it needs for its support. The model is a linear program consisting of production relations, final-demand relations, and civil-defense protection relations. The model was applied in a pilot study that reflects the characteristics of the assumed attack (protected population, heavy industrial damage), whose principal conclusions are: (1) The destruction to industrial resources would be proportionately greater than the population loss; this would result in a very low per capita income by present US standards. (2) By changing the basic post-attack demand conditions from unrestricted GNP maximization to base-year proportions (1958), the post-attack GNP was reduced by over 50 percent; with a minimal requirement vector restriction, the GNP fell by over 50 percent again. (3) Setting final-demand goals for specific sectors of post-attack economy would further reduce the maximum achievable GNP. (4) Only slightly more than half the posited minimal demands of the surviving population were met with a maximum labor utilization.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Feb 01, 1965
- Accession Number
- AD0615624
Entities
People
- Henry M. Peskin
Organizations
- Institute for Defense Analyses