AN ANALYTIC MODEL OF POLITICAL ALLEGIANCE AND ITS APPLICATION TO THE CUBAN REVOLUTION
Abstract
A model is developed whose successive solutions are to reveal changes in political environment; the elements of the model are participants in political affairs and the 'interest' or 'pressure' groups to which they belong and through whose collective agency they act. The model is arranged into 2 interest groups, each of which will be assumed to have individuals falling into one of 3 categories: (1) the loyalists who have joined a group but who give it no more than their sympathy, (2) the activists who have joined a group and are active in securing its aims, and (3) those committed members whose fortunes are so closely interwoven with those of a group that their adherence is irrevocable. The model is based on terms from the physical world, specifically on that of chemical solution that is made up of different materials dissolved in one another; the total free energy (see AD-605 919) is the characteristic on which the model is focused. The 2-group, 3-component model is illustrated by application to the Cuban revolution of 1956-1958. Tables are given of the distribution of followers and opponents of the Cuban regime in 1953 (observed) and 1956 (calculated).
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Aug 01, 1965
- Accession Number
- AD0620666
Entities
People
- John L. Enos
Organizations
- RAND Corporation