SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF CIVIL DEFENSE SYSTEMS AND COMPONENTS. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY
Abstract
The document summarizes a three part study concerning sensitivity analysis of CD systems and components in a fallout environment. In the first, a cost/effectiveness computer program is developed for optimum allocation of fallout shelter system development funds under uniform or variable risk assumptions. This program, intended for use in OCD planning studies, is programmed for the CDC 3600. It is applied in example studies using data on OCD Region 6. The second part of the study is a sensitivity analysis of selected parameters based on 8 SMSA's. It employs the transportation algorithm in a study of movement of people to fallout shelters. The results show how estimated casualties vary as movement-to-shelter patterns vary from restriction to a standard location up to free movement within the SMSA. They also indicate that detailed planning for shelter utilization can be very effective in reducing expected fallout casualties when the number of shelter spaces exceeds the population of an SMSA. In the third part of the study, a generalized sensitivity analysis is made of the parameters used in fallout vulnerability analysis models which determine total dose and equivalent residual dose.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Oct 01, 1965
- Accession Number
- AD0624704
Entities
People
- Floyd M. Guess
- H. R. Sink
- John H. Neblett
- K. E. Willis
Organizations
- RTI International