A CHANGE IN LEVEL OF A NON-STATIONARY TIME SERIES.

Abstract

Suppose that observations zsubt of a time series are available at equally spaced time intervals. The authors consider the problem of making inferences about a possible shift in level of the series associated with the occurrance of an event E at some particular time. For example, the observations might be of some economic indicator and one might suspect a change in level to occur in a particular interval because of a change in fiscal policy. Alternatively, zsubt could be the daily output of a chemical process and the event E might be a change in the supplier of raw material.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 01, 1964
Accession Number
AD0625456

Entities

People

  • George C. Tiao
  • George E. P. Box

Organizations

  • University of Wisconsin–Madison

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Indicators
  • Intervals
  • Materials
  • Observation
  • Stationary
  • Time Intervals

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Economics
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Statistical inference.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • Space