HUMAN PERFORMANCE IN LOW SIGNAL PROBABILITY TASKS.

Abstract

An extension of the theory of signal detection (TSD) to psychophysical tasks involving low probability signals and free response data is developed and evaluated. Emphasis is placed on tasks for which the observer is asychronous; that is, the observer cannot perform optimally by making independent decisions on non-overlapping intervals of time. A mathematical model of asynchronous observation in a class of temporally unstructured tasks with Neyman-Pearson solutions for optimal fixed response rate is used to describe detection performance by human observers. Data from an experiment show (1) a conservative fixed response rate, (2) a constant hit rate, and (3) inter-response distributions for false alarms with a general exponential shape showing periodic modes. Detection efficiency in the temporally unstructured task was approximately one tenth of alerted detection efficiency for two observers and one half of alerted detection efficiency for a third observer. Points on the obtained ROC curve are fit better by an inefficient asynchronous observer than by synchronous power law observers. A post hoc analysis of the effect of training showed an effect for distribution of responses in time but showed no effect of an improvement in memory for the signal. It is concluded that highly trained observers detecting important signals show constant efficiency over observation periods of 30 to 45 min. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1966
Accession Number
AD0640499

Entities

People

  • Patrick A. Lucas

Organizations

  • University of Michigan

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Detection
  • Detectors
  • Efficiency
  • False Alarms
  • Intervals
  • Mathematical Models
  • Models
  • Motor Skills
  • Observation
  • Observers
  • Probability
  • Signal Detection
  • Warning Systems

Readers

  • Applied Combinatorial Optimization and Logic Circuit Design.
  • Brain and Cognitive Science; Experimental Psychology; Cognitive Neuroscience
  • Vision Science/Vision Psychology/Cognitive Neuroscience.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference