ON DAMAGE ASSESSMENT MODELS,

Abstract

Comparisons are presented for 14 computerized damage-assessment models developed by 8 organizations. Comparative methods of specifying designated and actual ground-zeros, location and distribution of population and other assets, casualties, property damage and fallout deposition are described. Subsidiary models for damage and injury as a function of burst distance (for blast), fallout intensity as a function of weapon size, distance and wind speed, radiation mortality as a function of equivalent residual dose (ERD), and firespread as a function of fuel density, distribution and wind conditions, among others, are discussed. Approximations and potential sources of error are listed together with some comments regarding the need for sensitivity analysis and the implications of model uncertainties for modes of use.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 30, 1966
Accession Number
AD0644492

Entities

People

  • Robert U. Ayres

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Casualties
  • Damage
  • Damage Assessment
  • Ground Zero
  • Intensity
  • Radiation
  • Residuals
  • Sensitivity

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science / Meteorology, specifically Wind Wave Turbulence.
  • Nuclear Civil Defense.
  • Nuclear and Radiation Engineering.