A SIMPLE RENEWAL MODEL OF THROUGHPUT AT AN OVERSATURATED SIGNALIZED INTERSECTION.

Abstract

The effect of random headways on throughput at an oversaturated signalized intersection is studied. The model assumes an infinite queue of cars at the beginning of the go-phase. The entry time of the first car into the intersection, after the go-phase is initiated, is assumed to be a positive random variable X, and all successive entry-time headways (minus a minimum time T) are assumed to be the random variable X. Furthermore, all the random variables are assumed to be mutually independent. Analytic expressions are derived for the mean and the variance of the number of vehicles that pass through the intersection during a go-phase. Some calculations and curves are given for the specific case of an Erlangian distribution function of the random variable X. It is shown that a deterministic (mean value) model is quite accurate for mean value calculations, but that variability in headways does cause significant variance in throughput. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 28, 1966
Accession Number
AD0645434

Entities

People

  • A. F. Gafarian
  • C. J. Ancker

Organizations

  • System Development Corporation

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Distribution Functions
  • Mathematics
  • Random Variables
  • Throughput

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Electrical Engineering
  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.