AN EXPERIMENT WITH THE DELPHI PROCEDURE FOR LONG-RANGE FORECASTING. PART I,

Abstract

Long-range planning requires the use of a forecast, either implicit or explicit. The Delphi Procedure is one method for obtaining an explicit forecast. The experiment was conducted to determine the problems and difficulties associated with use of the Delphi Procedure. It was concluded that the procedure is workable and does not call for undue effort to carry out. Information on manhours required, delays involved, and degree of change of opinion during the course of the Procedure is given. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1967
Accession Number
AD0647870

Entities

People

  • Joseph Martino

Organizations

  • Air Force Research Laboratory

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Collaborative Techniques
  • Delphi Method

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Educational Psychology
  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.