AN EXPERIMENT WITH THE DELPHI PROCEDURE FOR LONG-RANGE FORECASTING, PART II,

Abstract

The report presents the results of an experiment to prepare a forecast of the international situation over the period 1966 - 2015. Near-term forecasts, giving the expected outcome of current situations; mid-range forecasts for the period 1970 to the end of the century; and a picture of the world in 2015, are included. No estimate of the validity of the forecasts can be made at this time. However, the members of the experimental panel are men of such stature in the field, that their forecasts deserve the attention of those interested in the future international situation. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1967
Accession Number
AD0647871

Entities

People

  • Joseph P. Martino

Organizations

  • Air Force Research Laboratory

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Collaborative Techniques
  • Delphi Method

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Economics