EXTENSION OF THE GENERAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS. VOLUME II. TECHNICAL APPENDIXES.
Abstract
Volume I, Methodology, discusses the methodology derived for civil defense sensitivity analyses and the results of demonstration runs employing the methodology on a statewide basis. Volume II, Technical Appendixes, gives details on derivations of the analytical expressions in the model and supplementary information on the analyses reported in Volume I. In order to perform calculations necessary for sensitivity analyses, and analytical computer model, called ANCET, was designed. The model computes both prompt effects and fallout casualties from a thermonuclear attack. The derivation of the analytical expressions for the prompt effects component model is reported in this volume. Analytic procedures for adapting the WSEG-10 fallout model for use as the ANCET fallout component model are also presented. Sensitivity analyses of the effect of the choice of parameters of the prompt effects casualty function show that casualty estimates are sensitive both to the choice of casualty function and to the assumed yield of the Japanese detonations. A sensitivity analysis of the exposure of population located both in circular urban areas and in circumferential rings to blast overpressure levels from nuclear detonation is also given. (Author)
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Mar 15, 1967
- Accession Number
- AD0650928
Entities
People
- Alvin M. Cruze
- Campbell Read
Organizations
- RTI International