AN APPROACH TO THE ANALYSIS OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE DATA FOR UTILIZATION IN HURRICANE FORECASTING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO.

Abstract

Sea surface temperature (SST) patterns have been analyzed for four major hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico in an effort to determine if routinely available SST data might be more fully utilized as an aid to the hurricane forecaster. SST data reported by merchant vessels are the primary data used in this study. Mean daily SST charts were prepared for approximately ten to twelve days prior to the time when each hurricane moved inland. Also, a series of 3-day, 5-day, and 7-day mean SST charts were prepared for Hurricane Hilda. The SST charts for Hurricanes Audrey, Carla, and Hilda were plotted and analyzed with the point of hurricane landfall known. In an attempt to stimulate realistic conditions and to insure an objective analysis, a series of daily mean SST charts for Hurricane Betsy were plotted while the storm was in progress. The conservative nature of ocean temperature is discussed, and it is stressed that a great amount of energy is required to make a significant change. It is pointed out that the SST data used are taken at varying depths in the first few meters below the surface, and that the values obtained are not necessarily the same as surface temperatures measured by radiation devices. It is suggested that even though there are obvious limitations to available SST data, it is possible that the data might be more fully utilized as an aid to the hurricane forecaster. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 01, 1966
Accession Number
AD0653269

Entities

People

  • James Glen Taylor

Organizations

  • Texas A&M University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Cooperation
  • Delphi Method
  • Hurricanes
  • Merchant Vessels
  • Radiation
  • Sea Surface Temperature
  • Storms
  • Surface Temperature

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Aviation Safety and Air Traffic Management
  • Emergency Management and Homeland Security.
  • Theoretical Analysis.