AN OBJECTIVE TECHNIQUE FOR FORECASTING SUMMER THUNDERSTORMS AT DAVIS-MONTHAN AIR FORCE BASE, ARIZONA,

Abstract

An objective forecasting technique, using data obtained from the Tucson 1200Z RAOB, was developed for Davis-Monthan AFB. Plots of various combinations of the indices of moisture, instability, and movement indicate (by a simple summing process) likelihood of thunderstorm activity and probable time of occurrence, if activity is likely. The technique developed is based on two years of data, the summers of 1964 and 1965, and verified against data for the summer of 1966. Although the sample is small, results appear to be very good considering the rigid verification criteria established and the other normal variability factors. (Author)

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1966
Accession Number
AD0657383

Entities

People

  • Keith R. Cooley
  • Robert E. Clark

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Delphi Method
  • Instability
  • Moisture
  • Thunderstorms
  • Verification

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Control Systems Engineering.
  • Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) of Proposed Air Force Base Actions.